2 new polls published a fortnight after the previously blogged upon Ipos-MORI poll in the Observer (which showed the Tories lead to be shrunk to 6 points), show that the Conservative party’s lead over Labour have in both polls shrunk by 4 points, leaving it at a 10 point lead. Is this the fight back mentioned at the conference in Brighton caused by Cameron’s incoherant policy over Europe? The economic optimism? Or merely a (big) blip?
Heartening, but couldn’t find ought on the Observer website about this. You got a link handy?
http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2516 and http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2009/nov/22/tory-lead-falls-mori-poll
Ah.. ’tis old news mate. Joyous nonetheless (for us poll geeks anyway), but I’m looking forward to more of the same such that this becomes a proper trend rather than a rogue poll or ‘blip’.
Some of us got there sooner though… http://comradenash.wordpress.com/2009/11/22/things-getting-better/
Well it’s more the fact that while the poll was a little far fetched, it was right in saying that the lead is shrinking as these 2 recent polls suggest http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/voting-intention