Correct me if I’m wrong…

Chris Riddell

For once in David Cameron’s leadership of the Conservative and Unionist Party, it seems for once (well, for the time being anyway) that he hasn’t put on his favourite pair of flip-flops, as despite the majority of the polls showing a substantial reduction in the Tory lead (down 4 points on last month in an ICM poll in the Guardian) it seems that with a recent interview Cameron said that in the last 3 general elections “We did a core strategy for 12 years…It is a disaster” and that he will freeze pay for 80% of public sector pay and abolish tax credits for families earning over £50,000. Now correct me if I’m wrong but wouldn’t you regard that a little bit of a “core strategy”?

Max

Happy(?) Anniversary

It is now exactly 4 years to do the day in which David Cameron was elected the leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party. So what in that 4 year period has been his best “achievement”? Inheritance Tax cuts for the top 2% of families? A “cast iron gaurantee” on a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty? Opposition to the fiscal stimulus package introduced in the wake of the financial crisis of autumn 2008, despite initially supporting it for a total of 10 days (and despite every other major western economic country following suit to Labour’s policies)?

4 points closer

2 new polls published a fortnight after the previously blogged upon Ipos-MORI poll in the Observer (which showed the Tories lead to be shrunk to 6 points), show that the Conservative party’s lead over Labour have in both polls shrunk by 4 points, leaving it at a 10 point lead. Is this the fight back mentioned at the conference in Brighton caused by Cameron’s incoherant policy over Europe? The economic optimism? Or merely a (big) blip?

Class Warfare by another Name

This weeks Mail on Sunday has brought to light allegations (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1231774/Camerons-bid-toff-Tories-backfires-candidate-tells-leader-I-like-double-barrelled-name.html) that Tory HQ (or more exactly Mr. David Cameron) is urging prospective parliamentary candidates with more aristocratic names to drop or change them for the election next year. The case mentioned is that of Ms. Annunziata Rees-Mogg, PPC for Somerton and Frome, who was asked by Dave to change her name to the more prole-friendly “Nancy Mogg”. While Ms. Rees-Mogg is known to her friends as “Nancy” (understandably), she has so far refused to budge on the matter, as indeed has her brother Jacob Rees-Mogg (PPC, Somerset NE).

Good for her I say. The inverse snobbery utilised by some Labour campaigns in the past (see Crewe and Nantwich, byelection) is nothing but a shameful perpetuation of old Class Warfare tactics in my view. I would argue that most voters have more intelligence than to back or spurn a candidate on the basis of name alone. If either of the young Rees-Moggs are overly privileged or out of touch, that will speak for itself through words and deeds come the campaign. There will be many reasons for the good folk of Somerset not to vote Tory in 2010 – a candidate having a fancy name or being well spoken should not be among them.

What do the good folks of BULS think? Is a posh name fair game for attack? Should Labour be wary of a successful “de-toff” campaign by Mr. Cameron?

Comrade Nash, BULS member (in exile, NZ).

Brown’s Christmas Present to Britain

As seen recently in the news, PM Gordan Brown, has vowed economic upturn by the end of the fourth financial quatre and this year and while yes there has been another quatre of contraction, this was only minor (0.4%). Consequently, there is an upbeat mood in the financial sector, unemployment growth is slowing and businesses are regaining their losses. Essentially, economic recovery is on its way.

However, let me ask a “What if?” question. What if in the sudden collapse of the banks last October had Brown, Darling, the Cabinet and the Labour government had taken a different choice? What if they had done what the Conservatives had been arguing only a fortnight later? A second great depression, waves upon wave of mass redundancy with unemployment reaching 3 million within a matter of months and the British people watching their money flow down the drain along with bankrupt banks.

This could have come to pass. A re-run of the mid-1930s.

Many Tories though like to forget about the first 10 days of that financial freefall. The days in which Cameron, leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party, supported the emergency bail-out of the banks from a Labour government. However, originally enough, Cameron on the 10th day of the crisis played his favourite game, “flip-flopping”, at this critical moment in British Politics, Cameron (who had been sidlelined by Brown’s jetting to different EU and US leaders to organise an international bail-out to help stabilize the crisis) called the wrong shot.

But why do that? He obviously knew that it was the right decision to support the package, as he himself did for a brief period, along with the fact that every other major political party and government in the world was following suit. Ultimatley, we will never quite know Cameron’s change of direction (again). But what we do know is that the decisions that were made by the Labour government, were the right ones, while not saving Britain from recession (as this was evidantly impossible) they clearly reduced its damaging effects and has helped Britain weather this financial storm.

By Max Ramsay, BULS member

Where have all the women gone?

When Cameron came to power in the Conservative party he promised a 30% female cabinet should he become PM. As anyone who has seen today’s Times can see, this seems rather unlikely.

As their front page points out, the vast majority of the top team are male. Women aren’t getting promoted and the candidates not yet selected from the infamous A-List are disproportionately female.

Why? Well we know the party has different ideas to Labour of women’s promotion; they don’t do all-women shortlists (which I am personally against actually but at least they’re getting the women in) and they don’t do women’s officers (something I am completely for). Women make up 51% of the population, 39.5% of their members, 16% of their front bench team and 8.7% of their MPS. Only 21% of their PPCs are female and so it’s not going to change any time soon either.

Why aren’t women getting ahead? Dave himself went to an all-boys school and hung out with the all-boy Bullingdon club rather a lot, maybe he thinks the lack of women is normal. Maybe he just doesn’t notice their absence. Maybe he’s just not that bothered… or is it unfair to blame him, is there an underlying problem deeply rooted in the party that needs to be sorted out?

david-cameron_1__532013a1

Dave buys a new pair of flip flops

So I missed the budget, but ate my lunch to the dulcet tones of Dave Cameron slamming Gordon Brown. Now I know I’m not the brightest of bunnies but I did get a bit confused when he

  • Slammed the government for making cuts, then
  • Slammed the government for spending too much
  • Slammed the government for taxing the “everyman” too much, through booze and fuel duty, then
  • Slammed the government for tax cuts to the “everyman” through VAT reduction, and
  • Slammed the government for taxing very rich people to relieve the burden on the “everyman”

… Can someone please explain to me his point with the above? If you average it all out it seemed to be a rather say-nothing speech.

Glitz?

I was not impressed to see that David Cameron has sent out the following message to his supporters:

“The glitz of G20 is over – now we must focus on Britain.‏”

G20 “glitz“? If he thinks trying to solve global issues by sitting down and hashing out agreements with world leaders is a pointless load of “glitz” and we should be concentrating instead on ourselves… well it reminds me of this really.

Women need 24 weeks for a reason

I stole this headline from the Family Planning Association because it says it all. Regular readers may have noticed I get rather angry about the Human Embryology Bill. I am utterly delighted to see it pass another hurdle tonight, but I am still apprehensive about tomorrows vote on the abortion limit.

MPs from all parties, including most notably David Cameron and Nadine Dorries, are peddaling downright lies that could change forever the lives of the tiny, tiny proportion of women, many of them vulnerable, in abusive relationships or very young, who seek late term abortions and force them to carry their pregnancies to full term against their will. The most recent and fully comprehensive report on the survival of foetuses before 24 weeks has shown there has been no change in the survival rates of a foetus before 24 weeks in the last ten years. NO CHANGE.

Despite this, Nadine Dorries MP, the woman behind this, insists that the report is a “desperate piece of tosh produced by the pro-choice lobby”. I’m sorry, this report, covering not one but sixteen hospitals over ten years, and based on science, something this woman has no understanding of, is made up?  She justifies her claim with the argument “So where has all the money that has been pumped into neo-natal services gone then?” Sweet Jesus. Note she doesn’t allow comments on her website- could she possibly be afraid of being corrected?

I am finding it hard to convey just how angry and sick this woman makes me feel. And David Cameron supports her. When you’re standing at the ballot box at the next election, stop and think how many women they have tried to control. How many children they want to be born into abusive relationships. How many young women they want to have babies forced through their barely developed bodies. How many desperate, terrified women they want to be forced to carry foetuses to full term because of Cameron and Dorries’ selfish, selfish attitudes.

Yes, we have too many abortions. Restricting access is not the answer. Leave these women alone. Respect their choice, one of the hardest they will ever have to make. Respect their rights to live how they want to live. Respect their intelligence by not suggesting they “should have used contraception”, or “shouldn’t have had sex”, or worst of all “should have known sooner”. Women need 24 weeks for a reason. Don’t let these sad deluded people, or the lack of eloquence in this rambling, angry blog, tell you otherwise.

Lobby your MP. Don’t let these people take away women’s rights.

Pragmatism needs to know its place again

When Tony Blair famously said “power without principle is barren, but principle without power is futile,” he was setting a mood which has dictated the Labour Party’s attitude to policy-making ever since.  Many of the party’s grassroots at the time called it a sellout on their principles – many more accepted that a degree of pragmatism was needed to make Labour electable again.

There was a degree of pride-swallowing for everyone in the Labour Party back then, and there needs to be a similar degree of pride-swallowing now.  Not in order to capitalise yet more on the middle-England vote that we are so terrified of losing (and are evidently succeeding in so doing), but to understanding what motivates the electorate to vote Labour in the first place.  The electorate stuck with New Labour in the past because it associated strongly with New Labour’s ideology – there was an understanding that New Labour’s policies would only push the middle classes as far as they felt comfortable, but no further, and there was an understanding that the fruits of that prosperity were going to help people at the bottom.  They did.

But what the Brown administration has not yet grasped is that the electorate’s inate understanding of New Labour’s ideology, i.e. that Labour will protect the poorest but not over-burden the rich, never needed renewal, and certainly not in terms of handing tax breaks to the middle-classes whilst risking over-burdening the poor.  What was in deperate need of renewal was an understanding that politicians were motivated less by retaining power and more by retaining our country’s social and economic stability.  Brown, with a solid reputation for both aiming for power and retaining stability, appeared to give the impression that the power was more important than the principle.

Bizarrely, I think the route out of Gordon Brown’s troubles may come in a familiar, yet not often-trumpeted form (at least not in New Labour circles).  Tony Benn once said there are two types of politician – signposts and weathercocks.  Signposts believe in what they believe, and will argue according to their principles.  Weathercocks will dither and wait on the results of opinion polls and focus groups before making a decision on anything.  If you had to classify Brown and Cameron into one of these categories 9 months ago, the result would be fairly obvious – you knew where you stood with Brown, and Cameron was all spin and hair grease.  But the main issues that have completely reversed Brown’s fortunes have been due to his transformation in the eyes of the public from a signpost to a weathercock – the election that never was, inheritance tax, and the 10p tax rate fiasco – all decisions made on the back of perceived public  opinion and political points scoring – all another chip out of Brown’s “signpost.”

What Labour needs now is not to re-connect with middle-England, but to reconnect with the very reasons that made every voter (working-class, middle-class, Scottish, English, men, women or whoever) put a cross next to Labour in 1997, 2001 and 2005 – a belief in promoting fairness, equality and social justice… but never at the expense of stability.  As soon as the public start to notice these “signposts” are pointing towards Labour and Gordon Brown again, we need have no fear about going into the next General Election…

… and sinking David Cameron’s weathercock.

And they say they’re not Thatcherites…

Here’s a new post from our friends at Birmingham University Conservative no Future.  Mr. O’Doherty, under the headline ‘Bring Thatcher Back’, cites a recent poll in which two-thirds of Tory voters prefer Thatcher to Cameron.  Although, this may have been a poll of the O’Doherty household, it is quite interesting to see the extent of support Thatcher has amongst Tory supporters.  My advice to them is that they should move on.  You’re stuck with Cameron for the meantime so deal with it!!

Breakfast time with Uncle Dave

David Cameron allowed an ITV filmcrew into his house during breakfast to film his families morning routine.  He’s had a bit of criticism, we all know how PR conscious he is, but I’m not sure.  Tony Blair was very private with his family, very rarely were they allowed to be interviewed. 

I think what Uncle Dave is trying to do is shift the election from issues to personality.  He probably thinks, with good reason, that most of his MPs are so out of touch that if we take them all into consideration he’ll most likely be on a losing track.  Anyway I’d like to hear other people’s views!  Should we care what a candidate for Prime Minister does before he leaves for the office in the morning?

The problem with BUCF

I don’t think I’ve ever been referred to as a left-winger in my entire life.  So I was honoured to see this post on the “award-winning” Birmingham University Conservative Future blog, accusing us comrades of harbouring secret left-wing tendencies.

The problem with BUCF is that they mostly appear to spend all their time on their own blog, or on other people’s blogs.  Another problem is they get very upset when you call them Thatcherite.  They shouldn’t be ashamed of it.  I spend an incredible short time on their blog, but what I do see is truly harrowing.  Borderline racist, homophobic and anti-disablist comments can often be seen (please don’t make out that I’m blanketly calling them all racist/homophobic etc. I’m far from it).  It’s just evidence of how out of touch I believe they are and how shocking it is that they represent the “future” of their shameful party.

They claim to be part of the changing party.  Supporting a party that believes all married couples should be given that little-extra tax break (because being married is so worthy of state support).  That’s not being the party of change, that’s being the party of rigid, dictatorial and traditionalist dogma which is trying to instil unto us that if you’re from a single parent household, you’re going to be somehow damaging the state of our country in such a way that the Government must step in to control this unruly rabble. 

We have a different approach in BULS, we go out and campaign, in our Guild and in our local area, and I will walk the streets until I am without shoes to ensure that a Conservative Government remains a thing of the past and never a thing of the future.

Eastbourne MP Arrested On Suspicion of Assault

Eastbourne MP Nigel Waterson, the man who has been labelled the “UK’s most homophobic MP“, the man who is a close friend of David Cameron, the man who is proud to belong to societies that ban females, the man I loath so much I have campaigned for the lib dems in the vain hope it will oust him, has been arrested on suspicion of assault.

 Let’s hope he isn’t going to follow in the footsteps of Birmingham councillor John Lines and actually turn out to be guilty… or have the whip removed from him like Derek Conway… that would be embarrasing for Cameron, two in a week!!

Who’s really lost the whip?

Listening to the Today programme this morning, I heard prominent Tory donor Stuart Wheeler rant about how the new EU Treaty was a disgrace, and how he was presenting a case to the High Court in order to have the Commons debate withheld.  One thing to note here is another example of how right-wing lunatics believe they can simply pour money into having the decisions of a democratic legislature overturned (cf. the hunting lobby, in attempting to argue in court that the Hunting Act was illegal, or even Brian Soutar, in pouring hundreds of thousands of pounds into a botched “referendum” on keeping the disgusting and homophobic Section 28, as well as donating huge sums of money to Labour’s opponents).

But back to my point, *Mr* Wheeler (he was at pains to point out DC hadn’t recommended him for a gong) was asked whether he thought disgraced Tory MP Derek Conway should have the whip removed (in light of DC’s refusal to remove it yesterday).  Well, Mr Wheeler insisted that if he were responsible, he would remove the whip.

Amazingly (well, about as amazingly as night follows day), DC has now come out and removed the whip from Mr Conway.  Which reminded me of this article in The Times.

Makes you wonder who’s really holding the whip…

security blanket

David Cameron has recently gone off on a rather odd track.  His latest attempt at appearing to be on the side of ‘normal people’ and being a ’strong leader’ is to threaten people – with removing their food and home unless they accept the least worst of the minimum wage jobs.  On top of that, single parents who are spending every hour looking after their kids are the new ’scroungers’ and will be required to undertake community work or have their social security cut.  And the evil Tories are not alone on this.  The debate over social security has occupied governments for decades and all parties have joined in the ’scrounger bashing’.

After posting on the Birmingham University Conservative Future blog (I know, forgive me), in response to some crazy idea where looking eager would determine whether you can eat or not, and you’re deducted money for being irresponsible and stupid by doing something like having a baby, I thought I might make a few comments on my views on social security.

I want to celebrate the fact that in our society we support people that need help. 

In 1945, Clem Attlee took a number of world changing decisions and established a welfare state worthy of its name.  The Beveridge Report into social reconstruction after the war identified five ‘giants’ that needed to be slayed on the way to a better future.  They were Want, Disease, Ignorance, Squalor and Idleness. 

Now, I was taught that great inventions of the Welfare State were created to solve these problems.  They were, respectivey, social security, the National Health Service, comprehensive free education, the housing revolution and full employment.  I’m incredibly proud of the democratic socialist foundations of our nation.  Even when trying to take the soul of it, even the British right and the Tory Party can’t move away from the fact that the UK is absolutely committed to the principles that we have an obligation to each other and that we should fund a supportive state infrastructure through general taxation.

Social security and the right of people that were unfortunate enough not to be in work to be supported by their peers is, or should be, as sacred as the NHS.  But unfortunately, we thrive on wanting to force people that need help to survive to live in some form of medieval spinsterdom.  They may not enjoy such frivolities as hair conditioner.  They must not go on holiday.  Their children may under no circumstances go on any school trips.  We have this unexplainable feeling that the people may only enjoy social security if they are satisfactorily humble and survive just above poverty – No Frills packet ham, drink only water and so on.  They must also be eager, damn it, but also apologetic.  It makes us happier if they are always looking for the next minimum wage job with an expression of shame on their face for daring to ask for help.

But I believe that society wants people to live, not to survive.  Human beings need to travel, they need new clothes, they need entertainment and the ability to speak to friends, they need toiletries, and the internet.  They have bills to pay – electricity, gas, phone, electricity and so on.  They do need holidays and they do want to celebrate Christmas and Easter and so on.  That is how humans operate.  But the tone of the debate wants everyone to survive on less and less but try harder and harder to earn it.

Why?  I still passionately believe that we must still work to eliminate Want, Disease, Ignorance, Squalor and Idleness because the battles aren’t won yet.  But Want and Idleness are different social needs.  We can’t obsfucate children being fed because it serves our own dogmatic higher principle to punishing the unemployed.  We must always look to what the result is, not the intention of the actors.  That isn’t necessarily the easiest pill to swallow for libetarians, but the day we reject the way that people live their lives because it doesn’t fit into our political principles is the start of the end.  I won’t look at a starving and homeless person outside a warm shop and think that they brought it on themselves, when the people spending money in the shop can change that life.

And I know that the chief opposition to social security is the dependency culture.  I always think that this is an odd argument, which only applies to money; noone is ever accused of being dependent on the NHS, or their state pension, or council housing – society is happy with people using them.  But anyway…

Idleness needs to be solved.  Things like the raising of the school leaving age, the New Deal, the minimum wage, flexible working and maternity pay, employment rights legislation and so on are recent ways that people are being urged into choosing their own future.  But we can’t make the dialogue ‘do this work or stop eating’ because a lifetime of minimum wage jobs is never something that people will embrace eagerly.  They just won’t.  Three strikes of ‘pack/clean/watch/carry’ is an arrogant and elitist way that we force the poor of society to accept their place.  Totally unacceptable.

So, after a lengthy blog, I wanted to say how much the debate needs to change.  Cameron is letting the nation down my turning ‘those in need’ into ‘those that are idle’ and until we change the debate we won’t solve the problem.

“I like Britain just the way it is…”

Not the wise words of this particular comrade, but of David Cameron.  Yesterday I found myself in the odd position of reading The Mail on Sunday.  When you’re bored and in need of a news fix anything will suffice.  The full quote reads:

 ”No, I am what I am,’ he says defensively. ‘I’m modern because I am a 41-year-old guy with a young family who experiences life through that family, who is comfortable … who likes Britain as it is today rather than wanting to turn the clock back.”

I find it ironic that this comment was printed on the day we actually did turn our clocks back.  If he is satisfied with Britain why does he want to create marriage incentives?  Why does he want to divide the representatives in Parliament in Scotland and England?  Infact, why does he even want to be Prime Minister?

These questions must not go unanswered for much longer!

Welcome back! Now, “take the plunge…”

Oh how I miss thee, Birmingham. A Freshers’ Week has come and gone and, for the first time in nine years (yeah, nine), I’ve not seen a bit of it. I gather from the new committee that Freshers has been a great success yet again this year, building on the huge success of previous years.

This is also the first Labour Party Conference I’ve missed in recent years, but I made a point of watching the coverage on BBC Parliament (like the true saddo that I am). I’d have to say the 2nd best speech of the conference was made by Quentin Davies (the best speech award was won jointly by Gordon Brown and BULS Vice-chair, Lucy Seymour-Smith). I found it quite amusing, perhaps primarily because Comrade Quentin does come across as a typical crazy old Tory, and you’re never really quite sure whether or not you heard him say “tally ho old chap” after his last sentence. This made his speech even more amusing in that it almost came across as a self-deprecating critique of “Compassionate Conservatism,” as taught by David Cameron. I’m not sure many Labour members in the audience were quite ready to be preached on the virtues of Democratic Socialism by Comrade Quentin, but regardless of that, his speech really did hit the nail on the head…

He accused David Cameron of having made a “Faustian pact with his own extremists” on Europe, he hailed Gordon as a man “of sound judgement” and accused Cameron of doing “such consistently foolish and superficial and transparently contradictory things,” on schools and tax and spending.

Comrade Quentin concluded by asking Tory MPs to “take the plunge” and come over to a party who has a real sense of direction, and is the natural home of real one nation Conservatives. So, as a former chair of BULS, I just want to stretch out the same hand that Quentin has. Not just to Tory MPs (though I’m sure they’d be most welcome), but to members of other political societies at Birmingham who are seriously considering where their politics are. I think there’s a very good chance we’ll have a General Election within the next 6-8 weeks, but almost a certainty that we’ll have one before the end of this academic year. Who would you feel comfortable campaigning for? I’m not suggesting you should join Labour just because we’re going to win, but rather because you believe we deserve to.

I know that recent times have shown a Conservative Club at Birmingham which has diverted almost entirely from the former common cause of hatred and bigotry and a more logical belief in the best routes to social and economic justice. Well, ask yourself, as logically as you will, who is best placed to provide that justice?

Whether you’re a former Tory, LibDem (and I’ve had informal discussions with prominent Tory and LibDem students about “taking the plunge” even before Blair left), now really is the time to think what you’re fighting for and fighting for what you think. In BULS, you’ll find a welcoming society, committed to equality, democracy and social justice, and one that knows the best way to go about this is by looking out for its members and fighting for what is important, both locally and nationally.

So, whether you’re a former Tory or former Libdem, final year postgrad or first year undergrad, politics expert or no idea about politics other than having some idea of how you want to see the world, come and join us. Phone Tom on 07825 687 974 or email us on labour@bugs.bham.ac.uk – we might even take you out for an obscenely cheap curry for your troubles.

John Ritchie is former Chair of BULS and is currently lobbying for the creation of a Highlands Officer

‘bizarre’ is not the word…

I saw a post on the Tories blog which made me think two things.  The first was ‘why do the most frequent readers of the blogs of the Guild of Students political societies appear to be the other side?’.  The second one was ‘Is it a singularly Tory habit to think that the heart of your party has always been rubbish?’.

I refer, of course, to Michael Ancram’s recent musings on the soul of the Tory party.  He has joined the many Tory MPs, Lords and donors who are questioning David Cameron’s slide into..well…everywhere.  He longs for a return to ‘the soul’ of the Tory party which, as we’ve seen recently, appears to mean throwing out all the foreigners, blocking up the channel tunnel and ensuring that the freedom to be poor is once again the birthright of all commoners.  It sounds very 92′/deja-vu and this certainly isn’t a new noise from the tops of Tory tree.

Reading the reactions of our Conservative Future friends however (and they are joined by most of the Tory Press), you might think that Mr Ancram, and the many like him, are random right-wing sympathisers who have wondered in from the cold of the 18th century and started attacking the ‘progressive’ shift that Cameron has brought in.  Am I alone in noting that all of these people have had, quite recently, rather impressive titles?  Ones like ‘Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party 2001-2005′ and ‘Deputy Treasurer of the Conservative Party’ and ‘Shadow Minister for Europe’.  These fine gentlemen aren’t ‘marginal’ or ‘bizarre’ as Tory HQ would have us believe – they are the core and future of the party.  I know that Conservatives, and I count some of my very close friends as Tories, really do disavow those on the right-wing of their party – I’m sure that most of BUCF do.  The fact remains, however, that they are leading the ‘government-in-waiting’ and this scares me.

No Conservative can credibly claim that Cameron is addressing the nation’s problems properly and that they have left the old ways behind.  Looking at the past few months of Michael Ancram, Johan Eliasch and Graham Brady, we can all spot the lie.  The very best thing that the Tories can do is stop looking surprised and screaming ‘marginalist’ when these people speak out – they are the legacy of the 80s that the Tories need to admit to and address.  Every time I see them eating their own young and proclaiming ‘we never liked him anyway’ I feel the vague sense of happiness which reminds me why they have no chance of returning to power.